Love the road team here.
Last night in Atlanta the Guardians had their modest 2-game winning streak snapped by these Braves 11-5.
Just wasn't Slade Cecconi's night as he was touched for 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Tonight it's Parker Messick's turn and I see nothing that leads me to believe this start won't be like his first 2.
On March 30th in LA against the defending world champs, he was incredible, dealing 6 shutout innings allowing just 5 hits, 5 K's, no walks on 76 pitches.
Cleveland won the game 4-2.
Then 6 days later at home he was rock solid against the Cubs, going 5 innings allowing 1 run on just 2 hits on 91 pitches getting a no decision.
Cleveland won the game 6-5.
This start to the season shouldn't be a surprise.
Last year after he got the call up from Triple A, he made 7 starts to close out the year going 3-1 with a 2.71 ERA.
He has master control walking just 6 batters over those 7 starts.
Martin Perez has come out of the box slow with two no decisions and the Braves have lost both.
At home against the A's he pitched well, 4 1/3 shutout innings but Atlanta lost 5-2. At Arizona he was roughed up to the tune of 4 runs on 5 hits in 5 innings.
Atlanta lost 6-5.
His career numbers are not good versus the Guardians.
In 11 games (7 starts), he is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA allowing 32 runs in 42 innings.
All signs point to another gem by Messick and Cleveland gets back on the winning track.
Give the Guardians.
I will back the cash cow in this tournament once again.
I used UConn over Duke last Sunday to complete the 4-0 sweep in the round of 16 and round of 8 based on Danny Hurley and what he has done in this tourney.
Just take a look at this 4-year run.
In the 2023 tournament, Hurley led UConn to the Championship going a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS.
In the 2024 tournament, Hurley led UConn to the Championship going a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS.
In the 2025 tournament, Hurley led UConn to a win over Oklahoma before losing to the eventual champ Florida.
He covered both games.
So heading into this tournament, Hurley had covered 14 straight games.
They put a 20' number out there versus Furman and they failed, winning by 11.
In the round of 32 they blew out UCLA 73-57 laying 5 1/2 and then last Friday in the round of 16, they covered the 1' versus Michigan St winning by 4.
And throw in the outright win over Duke and folks, that brings the 4 year number to an astounding 17-1 ATS as they take on Illinois Saturday.
Simply put, I can't go against that today. I can't pass up points with these points!
When they met way back in November at Madison Square Garden, the Huskies were 4 1/2 point favorites and dominated the game.
They jumped out to a 43-32 lead and went on to the 74-61 win.
Center Tarik Reed was in foul trouble and only played 15 minutes and scored 2 points and 5 rebounds and it didn't matter.
7'1 backup center Eric Reibe scored 8 and pulled down 7 boards and more than held his own.
However, it was the defense Silas Demary, Solo Ball and Malachi Smith played on Keaton Wagler that was the difference.
The trio held the freshman guard 1-3 from the floor and a pair of free throws for 5 points.
The UConn defense was smothering the high pick and roll of Illinois all night forcing them into a horrible shooting night.
How does 19-60 from the floor (32%), 6-29 from deep (21%) and trust me folks, that was in the friendly confines of a nice shooting venue as MSQ.
Now comes the wide open dome of Indy.
In a game like this, experience is EVERYTHING and you can't discount the huge advantage UConn has in this department.
If Wagler doesn't go off, Illinois has no shot and I trust the defense of the guards of UConn to smother him again.
The Huskies and Hurley go to a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS as a dog in this tournament the last 4 years and run the overall record to an incredible 18-1 SU/ATS.
On to the Championship game for the 3rd time in 4 years for the Huskies.
Their nice little run ends tonight.
The Purdue Boilermakers are lucky to be here.
In their round of 16 game versus Texas, the Longhorns had them on the ropes all night long but couldn't overcome 3 tough breaks.
Guard Tramon Mark, who scored a game high 29, was hobbling most of the 2nd half after rolling his ankle with just over 16 minutes to go in the game.
It didn't hurt him on the offensive end but defensively, he was a liability.
Jordan Pope was dealing with a broken foot suffered in the Gonzaga win but still played 33 minutes.
You throw in Camden Heide fouling out with 5 minutes left in the game and center Matas Vokietaitis playing with 4 fouls and you can see Texas was battling.
And yet, they took Purdue to the wire and almost won the game.
Go back to the Big Ten tournament semifinals, when UCLA, playing without their 2 best players, took the Boilermakers to the wire before running out of gas.
Which brings us to tonight.
Do I give Purdue credit for their current run of 7 straight wins? Absolutely but, I won't forget about just how badly they finished the regular season.
They lost 4 of their last 6 including a bad loss at Ohio State 82-74 and home losses to Michigan St 76-74 and Wisconsin 97-93.
And lastly, it's not like they have really had to face anybody in the class of Arizona: Queens college....NOPE.....Miami...NOPE.....Texas....NOPE.
Tonight it's big boy basketball and pound for pound, I just don't see the Boilermakers staying within single digits here.
Arizona has only lost 2 games this year, back to back on February 9th at Kansas 82-78 and the 14th at home in OT to Texas Tech 75-68.
Since those 2 losses, they have won 12 in a row SU (7-5 ATS) but of those 12 wins, only 2 teams have stayed inside today's number of 6.
In the conference tourney Iowa State lost by 2, hitting 5 3-pointers in the last 3 minutes to stay inside the number.
In the conference tourney Houston the Wildcats led by 9 with 1:31 to go before Houston hit back to back 3's to sneak inside the number.
Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Purdue and if they are going to compete and let alone cover the number, they are going to need a monster game from one guy.
Yup, senior point guard Braden Smith.
And bottom line, against these guards of Arizona and the size of Arizona, I just don't see that happening.
Arizona is too big, too good and they will punch their ticket to the round of 4 with a double digit win here.
Lay it with confidence tonight.
Time to kiss them goodbye.
The tournament committee put 3 teams in from the "sarcastically speaking" powerful West Coast Conference: Gonzaga, Santa Clara and St.Mary's.
The first two teams lost in the 1st round to SEC schools.
On Thursday, St.Mary's was absolutely destroyed by Texas A&M 63-50.
On Friday, Santa Clara lost to Kentucky in OT 89-84 in a game they should have won but again, they didn't.
And now it's Gonzaga's turn to face an SEC school.
On Thursday the Zags were 19' point favorites versus the little ole Kennesaw State Owls and struggled big time.
It was a 67-62 game with 2:21 to go when the Owls forced a missed shot but couldn't secure the offensive rebound and the put back pretty much ended their effort.
Now you want me to believe after you struggle with the Kennesaw's States of the world you are going to show up and hammer a red hot Texas team????
I just don't see that happening.
Sean Miller has his Longhorns playing their best ball of the year right now.
After getting bounced in the SEC tourney in round one versus Ole Miss, many thought they were also bounced out of the big tourney as well.
Well, they were one of the last four in and boy have they made the most of it.
Tuesday night the win at the buzzer over NC State on the Tramon Mark jumper with 1.1 seconds to go.
Thursday night they shut down a BYU team and won convincingly 79-71 led by their 7'0 big man Matas Vokietatis 23 points and 16 boards with Mark getting 19.
Now comes the Zags.
If Gonzaga hadn't lost 6'10 center Braden Huff to injury, they were probably a final four team but his 18 points and 6 rebounds a game are gone!!
And outside the West Coast conference they just aren't the same team and you saw that with the embarrassing struggle against Kennesaw State!!!
Texas can match the Zags other big man inside 6'9 Graham Ike with their big man Vokietaitis and the guard play of the Longhorns is much better than the Zags.
Bottom line: With Mark, Swain and Pope playing as well as they are, it would not shock me in the least to see the Longhorns win the game outright.
Give me the points all day long in this one.
There is a clear cut right side to this game.
And that right side is the Seattle Seahawks.
Let's start with the New England Patriots, who truth be told, shouldn't be here.
Courtesy of C.J Stroud throwing 4 INT's and Sean Payton being a complete dumb ass, they are here.
They are here because they played one of the easiest regular season schedules in NFL history, a schedule which saw them play just 2 winning teams.
They played the Ravens when they were banged up and injured and they played the Bills.
Inside that schedule is one other important nugget about their regular season schedule: they only faced one top 5 defense..
Week 8 they faced the #3 "D" in the Cleveland Browns at home with Dillion Gabriel at QB and blew them out 32-13.
The Browns sacked him 6 TIMES.
Then the playoffs arrived, and they faced 3 defenses in the top 5: Chargers #5, the Texans #1 and the Broncos #2.
And Drake Maye struggled in all 3 games.....BADLY.
Wild card round at home he threw a pick against the Chargers in an ugly 16-3 win as LA sacked him 5 TIMES.
Divisional round against the Texans, and was 16 of 27 for 179 yards and another pick as Houston sacked him 5 TIMES.
And against Denver in the 1st half, he was 7 of 14 for 41 yards. You can throw out the 2nd half due to the weather. Broncos sacked 5 TIMES.
Now he faces a defense in Seattle, which is ranked in the top 5 in total defense and the 3rd best in the league at sacking the QB.
And the reason why is the following stat: Seattle is 6th worst team in the NFL at blitzing the QB, but they rank top 3 in QB pressures.
They don't have to blitz to get pressure because their front 4 gets there.
Folks, 21 sacks given up by an offensive line starting 2 rookies on the left side and 3 of those games they had home field advantage.
And now they face the best defense they will have seen all year long......and I see nothing that leads me to believe his line will be able to protect him here.
Advantage Seahawks. And it's a HUGE ADVANTAGE.
In my opinion the only way this game is not a double digit game is if Darnold turns it over. I really believe that.
I would be lying if I said his turnover problems didn't worry me a bit!!
However, he has thrown just 1 pick in his last 4 games. Simply put, he is playing the best football of his entire career right now.
New England is a great story but in my opinion, the better TEAM across the board is the Seahawks.
You don't win as many Super Bowl games as I have betting on a great story, you bet on the team that you feel wins the game.
In a nutshell, this game feels a lot like two other Super bowls: #48 with Seattle/Denver and #55 with Bucs/Chiefs.
Those 2 games were decided by the dominance of an overwhelming defensive line versus an inferior offensive line.
END OF STORY.
The Seattle Seahawks win this game and in case you didn't know, in the history of the Super Bowl the SU winner is 50-7-2 ATS
That's right, only 7 times in 59 games the underdog has lost but covered.
Congrats to the Seattle Seahawks on your world championship.
Seattle 31-13.
APRIL - 2026
Friday - 4/17
75 Dime Rays - Loss
Net for the day: -75 dimes
Thursday - 4/16
75 Dime Guardians - Winner
Net for the day: +75 dimes
Wednesday - 4/15
75 Dime Sixers - Winner
Net for the day: +75 dimes
Tuesday - 4/14
25 Dime Tigers (-120) - Winner
Net for the day: +25 dimes
Monday - 4/13
50 Dime Guardians/Cards Under - Loss
Net for the day: -55 dimes
Sunday - 4/12
25 Dime Heat - Winner
Net for the day: +25 dimes
Saturday - 4/11
100 Dime Guardians - Winner
Net for the day: +100 dimes
Friday - 4/10
75 Dime Hawks - Winner
Net for the day: +75 dimes
Thursday - 4/9
50 Dime Royals (RL) +110 - Loss
Net for the day: -50 dimes
Wednesday - 4/8
25 Dime San Antonio - Winner
Net for the day: +25 dimes
Tuesday - 4/7
25 Dime Rockies (+150)
Net for the day: +37.5 dimes
Monday - 4/6
150 Dime Michigan - Loss
Net for the day: -165 dimes
Sunday - 4/5
25 Dime Boston - Winner
Net for the day: +25 dimes
Saturday - 4/4
200 Dime UConn - Winner
Net for the day: +200 dimes
Friday - 4/3
25 Dime Sixers - Winner
Net for the day: +25 dimes
Thursday - 4/2
30 Dime West Virginia - Winner
Net for the day: +30 dimes
Wednesday - 4/1
60 Dime Oklahoma - Loss
Net for the day: -66 dimes
----------------------------
MARCH - 2025
19-12
$10 Bettor Made $6,725
Tuesday - 3/31
50 Dime Suns - Loss
Net for the day: -55 dimes
Monday - 3/30
50 Dime Hawks - Winner
Net for the day: +50 dimes
Sunday - 3/29
50 Dime UConn - Winner
Net for the day: +50 dimes
Saturday - 3/28
200 Dime Arizona - Winner
Net for the day: +200 dimes
Friday - 3/27
150 Dime St.Johns - Winner
Net for the day: +150 dimes
Thursday - 3/26
100 Dime Iowa - Winner
Net for the day: +100 dimes
Friday - 3/20
100 Dime UCLA - Loss
Net for the day: -110 dimes
Thursday - 3/19
100 Dime VCU - Winner
Net for the day: +100 dimes
Friday - 3/13
100 Dime Arizona - Loss
Net for the day: -110 dimes
Thursday - 3/12
60 Dime Florida St - Winner
Net for the day: +60 dimes
Saturday - 3/7
100 Dime UMBC - Winner
Net for the day: +100 dimes
Friday - 3/6
80 Dime SE Missouri - Loss
Net for the day: -88 dimes
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My ratings system is pretty simple. Plays are generally rated anywhere between 25 and 100 Dimes to aide clients in money management. However, when I sense an opportunity to go for the jugular or when I'm on a roll and can afford to take shots with a bankroll that's been steadily growing, you better believe I'm going for it.
Where do I start? Let's just say Hollywood would not have made a movie based on my life as a professional sports handicapper, "Two For the Money," if I wasn't a winner!
"Two For The Money" is all about me, the guy who is 25-4-2 lifetime with his Super Bowl selections!
Al Pacino plays my boss, Renee Russo plays his wife and Matthew McConaughey plays me. "Two For The Money", debuted in theaters in October of 2005 and is widely available on DVD and you'll always find it playing on one of the major streaming services.
I was born in Midland, Michigan in 1963. Sports was always my first love and I was a great athlete in high school, lettering in two sports, but my dreams of playing college ball were cut short by a knee injury.
With my playing days over, I decided to see the world by joining the Navy in 1981, getting stationed aboard the Battleship New Jersey, where I eventually became the youngest sailor to ever qualify as a master helmsman in the ship’s history.
After being honorably discharged in 1984, I traveled the world for three more years before ending up in Las Vegas in 1987. It was there I entered the sports handicapping industry, building my reputation by validating my opinion to customers worldwide. The daily highs and lows of competing against the Vegas oddsmakers filled the void left by the end of my basketball career.
In 1989, I joined a nationally-known sports service based on the East Coast and immediately embarked on one of the most historic winning streaks ever witnessed in the handicapping world. After an incredible six-year run, I just had a feeling my life story would make a fascinating movie. But, with that decision came the realization that my dream would only be fulfilled by leaving the business.
Despite sitting atop the handicapping world, I abandoned the industry in 1996, moving to Los Angeles in order to turn my movie aspirations into a reality. I networked my way in as a caddy at the prestigious Riviera Country Club, knowing the job would eventually put me in touch with a director, writer, or producer that could take my dream to the silver screen. After caddying for the likes of President Clinton, Jack Nicholson and Tom Cruise, along came Dan Gilroy, whom I pitched the movie idea of a lifetime after he made a fifty-foot putt. Six years later, with Matthew McConaughey playing Brandon Lang, "Two For The Money" was born.
A funny thing happened along the way though. I had a movie about my life in production, but something was missing. It was this business. The emotion, the adrenaline rush you get every football weekend with it all coming down to the Monday Night Game. No other feeling in the world can compare to that I get from knowing people are betting hundreds of thousands of dollars on my opinion, and then having me come through in the clutch when nobody else could.
With the movie deal wrapped up, I returned to the business, making my online debut in August of 2004.
This is the ONLY place you can get ALL my plays, right here
There is no 800 phone service; no 900 numbers.
Here at my website, it's just me and you. I'm forced to validate my opinion every day I release a big play. I win, and you're happy. I lose too often, and you're gone. But, at the end of the day, it's just me and you.
Understand something right now: I am not going to win every day, every week or every month. But, I can put you on the right side of more games that you've ever been on in your gambling life, and by doing that, you will make money.
By the way, if you're curious about whether my record is legitimate, let me assure you it is, and let me explain why: You see I offer long-term packages of 7, 30, 60 and 100 days. Anyone who buys a package gets EVERY play I release, day in, day out. Now, if I lied, even once, how many customers do you think I'd have remaining?
See, that's the beauty of the Internet. I don't need some phony monitoring service to document my wins and losses. Instead, you - my customers - do that for me. You validate my opinion and assure my credibility. And that's why we're a team.
Yes, the movie was intoxicating. I mean, who wouldn't want to have a major motion picture made about their life? The countless radio and TV interviews are incredible, too. But, no matter how much I tell you about what Hollywood is like, remember that my focus remains on doing what I do best, and that's making people money.
Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me!